As we all wait to either go over the fiscal cliff or get some last minute deal to half way avert it, I would like to go back to my posting on 40 years of Roe v. Wade and impending judgment. My own view is that this game of chicken over the fiscal cliff is far more dangerous than most people imagine owing to the underlying weakness of the national and world economy. Here is how I think things will play out.
First, it is obvious to me that President Obama is focused on the political aspect of the cliff, i.e., how he can use it to destroy Republican power so he will have a freer hand to enact his desired radical change for this country. I don’t think he is particularly concerned about the economic consequences since he believes he can successfully blame those consequences on the Republicans. He will only sign off on a deal if he gets tax increases on “the rich” with no increases on the middle class, and if the spending reductions are mostly phony or mostly on the military.
Since he is focused on the political, and the political winds favor him today, he will likely succeed. But that doesn’t mean the economic consequences are not real. If he wins politically and brags about his win, and then the economy really tanks, this may come back to bite him big time. Here is an article suggesting the world financial system is on far shakier grounds than we think, and that Obama’s failure to deal with it could damage the Democratic Party brand for a generation.
Second, I look at the complete disarray and dispiritedness of the Republican Party and conservatives in general. It has revealed a deep split between the establishment people and the movement people. We all saw this with Boehner’s failed attempt to pass a tax increase on those with incomes above a million dollars a year and his removal of some movement conservatives from key committees. We heard Newt Gingrich, someone we would have expected to stand strong, throw in the towel on gay marriage. (It made me think of the words of Jesus at the Last Supper, “This very night you will all fall away.”)
Putting these two thought together, I expect Obama to have a time of political victories and economic disasters while his opposition is divided and in disarray. To us, this will seem like the worst of times, but it may in fact be the preparing the round for future victory for the following reasons:
- The policies of the Democrats will eventually be revealed as disastrous to even the most ill-informed voter.
- Leadership of the Republican Party and conservatism in general may shift from the failed compromising establishment to more principled movement conservatives.
This second item of leadership change must also occur in the Church. The Church has had a parallel problem to that of the Republican Party in having leadership that more interested in public relations than fidelity to Christ. You should really think about what pastor you are supporting and where you are giving God’s money.
So in the immortal words of Jeremiah Wright, “America’s chickens are coming home to roost.” The economic consequences of our profligate ways are about to hit hard. This will discredit the whole ruling establishment and prepare people for truly radical change, either for good or for bad. What is needed is leadership for the good to be ready.
What does being ready mean? Here are some specifics.
- Above all else, guard your hearts. Don’t look at what man is doing; look at what God is doing. Look for where God is moving and raising up men to lead in these times. Identify them and support them. I recommend CBR and FRC.
- Get your own act together, financially and in terms of relationships. We will need each other.
- Be prepared to sacrifice and help each other in the hard times.
- Save money and store food.